Curragh Preview 28/6/14
Yesterday’s preview didn’t go too well but on a different day it could have been so different. Table Rock won the Premier Handicap over a mile but all form lines with Third Dimension would suggest he would have won it if he had been up to his best, unfortunately he wasn’t and being by Dubawi it’s not beyond the realms of possibility that two quick runs on Good to Firm ground were just too much for him. I still think he is a blot on the handicap and it won’t be long before he wins one.
Karezak was mugged on the line by what I thought was a magnificent ride by Rory Cleary. He judged the pace perfectly and looking at the race you’d have to say the best riding performance won and not the best horse.
Unfortunately in the sprint Kiss the Stars was held up which I found strange considering she finds so little. In a relatively small field I thought it would be an ideal opportunity to go forward, however it wasn’t to be and she may now be one to avoid for the time being. Lady Mega ran a very nice race in second. It wouldn’t have been ideal for her to be so close to the pace but she ran a nice race before failing to pick up. She will be a major threat held up in a big field sprint later in the summer.
Onto today’s racing, I only have two fancies at the Curragh today on a high quality day of racing. Unsurprisingly for my regular readers I have focused more on the handicaps than the group races and I think I may have found two at double figure prices who could run nice races.
Secret Seven is the one I like in the two mile handicap at 6.10. She caught my eye running a huge race from 6 pounds out of the handicap at Newcastle at the backend of last year. She pulled 6 lengths clear of the field with a horse named Bin Singspiel having missed the jump. That horse is now rated 88 while Secret Seven races here off 74 after recent win over an inadequate 1 mile 4 furlongs at Tramore. She looked all but beaten that day until hitting the rising ground 2 furlongs from home at the quirky Waterford track and she showed all of her staying prowess to win by 3 and a half lengths. The form of that race isn’t bad but with the step up to 2 miles likely to bring about huge improvement she’s probably my bet of the day. She’s still lightly raced and the fact that she was unraced as a two year old suggests she was always a backward type that was likely to improve with age. Interestingly she had been entered in the Ascot stakes, the race which Domination won this year. Of course she fell well short of the handicap in that race but I think it shows how highly they rate this filly at home. Instead she takes in the race that Domination won last year and if she is as good as I think she might be she will take some stopping off a mark of just 74.
My other bet at the Curragh comes in the Paddy Power Scurry at 4.15. To all intents and purposes Seanie looks like an exposed five year old who is pretty harshly handicapped on the best of his form. However that only tells half the story as it is fairly well known that this gelding was always a big baby and seems only to be coming to himself now. David Marnane does well with these types of horses and to me Seanie looked better than ever on his recent comeback at Navan. He was only beaten 2 and a half lengths by course specialist More Questions who was since beaten a nose off 12 pounds higher at the same track. Seanie was entitled to need the run that day coming off a long break and if ready to go here could outrun the 18/1 currently available about the horse. Conor King takes the ride and we all know the difference a 3 pound claim can make in these races and if Seanie shows up in the right mood he could make that 18/1 price look silly.
John Ring 27/06/14 @tips_ROI
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