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Schedule – November 2015

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Dubai Fillies’ Mile Preview with Sam Preen

A surprisingly small field for this years Fillies’ Mile, a race dominated by Godolphin in recent years, including Certify, and was last year won by the ill-fated Chriselliam, who went onto land the Juvenile Fillies’ Turf, before her life was tragically cut short. On a higher note, here’s the line up…

 

Agnes Stewart170548

Eddie Lynam sends in smart filly Agnes Stewart, who ran far better than her price suggested, when routing her rivals at Fairyhouse on her debut, before a creditable effort in a Group 3, losing out to Jack Naylor (went onto finish third in a Group 1), before picking up Doncaster’s May Hill Stakes, beating home the useful Muraaqaba (good luck pronouncing it), and the useful Shagah (careful how you pronounce it). Kept on strongly to win at Doncaster, having plenty left in the tank, and should run a huge race here on her Group 1 debut.

 

Forte205306
I don’t watch as much AW action anymore so I don’t know much about Forte, who was four lengths third to Light Fantastic (stayed on), before stepping up to a mile for a comfortable, but lazy (as RP described) success, finishing a length and a quarter in front of debutant Yarrow. Still has plenty of room to grow and improve, but slightly offputting that she’s only ran on all-weather around Kempton, and faces a stiff task on her turf debut.

 

Good Place49845b
Seeking the hat trick is distance winner Good Place, who started life when a staying on second to Efflorescence over 7 furlongs, before a comfortable two length success on Lingfield’s turf course, in a four runner race. Shaped as if she wanted a mile there, where she was sent to Ascot last month, defying odds of 10/11 to win a shade cozily, again in a four runner race. Interested to see how she’ll fare back in a large field, but the Irish Godolphin runner looks more capable.

 

Lucidagodolphin
Won her maiden comfortably, before going onto chase home Raydara in the Debutante Stakes, and Cursory Glance in the Moyglare, both run over 7 furlongs at the Curragh, before going onto land the Shadwell Rockfell Stakes by a length, returning at evens. Earmarked as a potential Classic heroine for Jim Bolger next season, is currently 50/50 to line up for this, but if she does, she should be very difficult to beat.

 

Marsh Hawk183753
Visually impressive at Newmarket’s July course over 7 furlongs, having her rivals out like washing, being able to dictate the pace from the front, beating home Group 2 second Fadhayyil and future winner Light Fantastic back in third. Narrowly touched off in a Group 3 when dropping down in trip, worn down in the final strides with Richard Hughes taking over, but made amends at Newbury, when beating four rivals in a minor event like an odds on shot should. Looks a group horse in the making, and is versatile regarding ground, with a mile sure to suit if she can make all. Dangerous.

richard-hughes-riding-marsh-hawk_3206185Marsh Hawk

Together Forevermagnier
Improved when upped in trip, rallying late to chase home lesser fancied stablemate Found, who would go onto land a Group 1 at Longchamp earlier in the month, and followed that up with a fair effort at the Curragh on her first real test, in a Listed event. Smashed her rivals at Gowran Park, as expected, but the push up to a Group 1 after winning a minor event isn’t a confidence boost.

 

Winters Moon49845c
Beat Shagah on the July course, over 8 furlongs, before disappointing in a Group 3 when third of seven, and again disappointed when no match for Elm Park, who would go onto win a Group 2, in a Listed event at Salisbury – her first start over a mile. Has been known to hang left when under pressure, so comes with warning signs.

 

Conclusion: A fascinating small field in which Godolphin send in a strong charge, with Lucida being their best hope. She should be very difficult to beat after her comfortable Group 2 success here, over 7 furlongs, after a gallant effort in defeat in last month’s Moyglare, but it could go to MARSH HAWK, who steps up to a mile for the first time, as well.

 

Routed her rivals in soft ground on the July course, over seven furlongs, and was very unlucky to lose out in a Group 3 at Sailsbury, when dropping down to 6 furlongs, before winning as easy expected when making all at Newbury. Has plenty left in the tank that day, and has more to come over a mile.

The Irish are also represented by Agnes Stewart, who has previously won over a mile over there shores, and looks capable of running a huge race, providing the ground doesn’t change significantly between now and then. Together Forever has her ideal ground seeking a hat trick, and comes here 5 days after landing a Listed event at the Curragh.

Marsh Hawk @ 9/2 (PP)


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