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Schedule – November 2015

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Test

Group 3 Pinnacle Stakes success awaits Cubanita

Time to dip our toes into another race for the fillies, with tomorrow’s 2:05 at Haydock being the one in question. As is the norm of late, it’ll be run on crap ground, but that should lessen the claims of plenty of them and hopefully makes it easier to land on the winner of this 1m 4f, Group 3 event.

 

Although she has to give all of her rivals a 3lb penalty, Cubanita (10/3) is my idea of the one to be on and, to keep things simple, will be getting the nod. If Ralph Beckett’s filly was coming here on the back of her defeat of Noble Mission in the John Porter (also a Group 3) at Newbury in April, you can be certain that she would be the outright favourite by some way.

 

Indeed, Astonishing was 3-lengths behind there and is 1lb worse off at the weights, so supporters of the Soute filly will have to hope that she’s going to relish these conditions more than Cubanita. I don’t really think that she will, for all that it’s guesswork to a point, and the selection is also a victor at this level on top of heavy conditions, which favours her more than it does with most.

 

You can ignore the bare figures of her last outing as that was over an extra couple of furlongs at York and the daughter of Selkirk clearly didn’t see out the trip having made good headway to lead with less than two to run. It was a better effort in reality, for certain, than it looks in the book and is worthy of upgrading. This is a hell of a lot easier for her as well.

 

The biggest question here is whether something will improve enough to beat her, as is always possible when the conditions are changing. Gosden’s filly – who has proven nothing in the context of this race – could be anything, Luca Cumani’s Silk Sari has more to offer and Quiz Mistress will appreciate going back up in trip on testing ground, but all of them have something to prove.

 

Similar can be said about Moment In Time (last seen running well in Meydan) as she’s best on a faster surface and, as previously mentioned, Astonishing’s claims rely on the testing conditions – which she will face for the first time – helping her to produce more. I’m not convinced, to be honest, and Cubanita looks by far the most solid option; she gets a big nod.

 

Selection:

 

Cubanita Silks Cubanita – 10/3, available with StanJames & William Hill.

 

Post by James Boyle.


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