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Schedule – November 2015

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Horses To Follow with PJ Walsh

Paris got most of the attention this week with an orgy of Group 1 races ran at Longchamp last Sunday which threw up plenty of talking points, not least the slowly run Prix de l’Arc de Triomphe which may have scuppered Treve’s attempt at immortality.

 

Back home, the quality mixed card at Tipperary rounded off the week and it will be hard to keep attention on the flat in the coming weeks before the turf season ends with a lot jumps fans coming out of summer hibernation or aestivation to give it its proper term (no, it makes no sense to me either).

 

Last week I spotted two 2yr olds who may be profitable to follow in the closing stages of the season:

 
Red Stars (J Oxx)

 

John Oxx has seen the quality of his runners decline over the past few seasons but he may have a pattern class filly her in Red Stars to look forward to. She is bred to improve with age but is of a fair level of ability already.

 

A staying on third on debut behind Radiantly at Tipp was followed up by a 4th in the hot maiden on Irish Champions Weekend behind Anamba, form which has worked out particularly well. Her latest outing in Roscommon leads me to believe she is better than her previous two runs. She won quite smoothly last Monday week from Lady Valeur and on face value the form looks to be nothing special.

 

My interpretation is that she has improved from Leopardstown though. Orangey Red, who was 1.75l behind that day, was beaten further on this occasion when the opposite may have been expected given that Dermot Weld’s charge had come into Leopardstown off the back of a break.

 

Declan McDonagh attributed a removal of the hood and getting a lead as to factors as to why Red Stars also may have improved and the victory was achieved with such ease that I tend to believe his assertion. I feel that she will improve again if stepped up to a mile before the season ends and middle distances next year.

 
Snowy Scene (J G Murphy)

 

Snowy Scene’s career so far has been mainly marked by his refusal to settle for his jockey. Keen-going displays over 7f have caused him to weaken in the latter stages of his races and it was no surprise to see him settle a lot better in a strongly run 6f race last time in the hands of Pat Smullen.

 

It wasn’t the deepest nursery ever run but the Royal Applause colt beat a fair sort in Berlios with the rest of the field questionable. It was the ease of victory and the more relaxed performance that leads me to think that Snowy Scene will go on and improve again. His jock spoke after the race about his surprise that his equine partner had not been victorious until now and that leads me to think that similar conditions could see him win again before the handicapper catches up with him.

 

The Birdcatcher Nursery has been mooted as an aim and it would look a logical race selection.

 
Horses to follow:

 

Nodiac (Ger Lyons)

Benkei (Harry Rogers)

Dawenkour (Mick Halford)

Catch Word (Jim Bolger)

Kasbah (Johnny Murtagh)

Mutadaffeq (Kevin Pendergast)

Minding (Aidan O’Brien)

Jowana (David Marnane)

Jeremy’s Legacy (Paul W Flynn)

Maknificnet (Michael O’Callaghan)

Five Claw (Michael Halford)

Best Not Argue (J J Murphy)

Alton Bay (Peter Fahey)

Roheryn (Ger Lyons)

Radiantly (W McCreery)

Cailin Mor (Michael Halford)

Add:

Red Stars (J Oxx)

Snowy Scene (J G Murphy)

 

Follow the author here PJ Walsh


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