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Today’s Preview with James Boyle – 3rd October 2014

James Boyle from JamesBoyleRacing.com previews some of the Wolverhampton races this evening – you can hear his thoughts, the thoughts of our other analysts and all of the exciting action live through the day via the Listen Live button above or on the App.

 

5:50 Wolverhampton:

 

This race lost most of its appeal earlier on when Irish Girls Spirit was declared a non-runner but it’s an interesting affair nonetheless. Last time out C&D winner Dream Sika tops the market, bidding to follow up her first success with another, and the form of that race took a boost on Wednesday with the fifth placed horse making all at Kempton. That’s a reasonable encouragement at least and the handicapper has hardly gone overboard with Ruth Carr’s charge in raising him by 3lbs, but today’s race looks a tad hotter and the presence of other potential pacemakers could make life difficult. At the current prices, he wouldn’t be for me. Instead, Douneedahand at 13/2 could be worthy of taking a punt on now returned to the scene of her last success. The 3-year-old daughter of Royal Applause clearly likes it here with her course form reading 2-2-2-1 and she’s off the same mark as when that win was achieved in April. That is, of course, due to a lack of impressive form since but she wasn’t disgraced the last twice and may be perked up by a return to this venue (albeit, she will have to act on the changed surface). Gary Mahon taking the reins again is a positive as he seems to get on very well with the filly and the promise of a rapidly run race over the minimum should be in her favour. It’s a trappy little heat, but she’s capable of hitting the places at worst and, hopefully, it could end with a win!

 

6:20 Wolverhampton:

 

Sacha Park currently holds 5/2 favouritism in this decent quality claiming race and that’s as a result of Richard Hannon’s 3-year-old finally managing to win his first contest away from maiden company. He has been a hugely disappointing animal given the promise of his first four outings as a juvenile, but every horse that hasn’t been completely soured usually finds a way to get back off the mark and dropping into a 0-75 for the first time over this C&D led to his career getting back on track. The surface clearly wasn’t a bother to him either (now 2-3 on the AW; probably helped) and he won readily enough in the end, so there’s no reason why he can’t follow up and do even better. The problem for me is that he’s not exactly favoured at these weights and at the prices Regal Parade makes much more appeal. Milton Bradley’s former Group 1 winning 10-year-old has plenty of water under the bridge and isn’t likely to be the easiest to win with these days given his understandably regressive ways, but he’s in here carrying 3lbs less than the favourite and is officially rated 8lbs superior by the handicapper so is of obvious interest on that score. The surface shouldn’t be a problem (has won on fibresand and polytrack) and he showed on his penultimate start that he’s still up to winning races having defied a mark of 85 under Kieren Fallon at Newmarket on soft ground. With a bit of luck and a solid pace to sit off, he can get into this.

 

8:20 Wolverhampton:

 

Time to look at the only 3-year-old handicap on the card and another last time out C&D winner in the shape of Marmarus heads the market. Clive Cox’s charge was fairly impressive in getting the better of a well-backed Mick Easterby runner and the gap between him and the third horse makes it look like a solid performance on the figures. I don’t think that the handicapper has gone overboard by sticking him up 5lbs to a mark of 70 and the excellent Ryan Tate hops up to offset 3lbs of that rise. The draw is perfect, the track evidently suits and the gelding appears to be progressive ever since being campaigned away from turf, so there’s not much to be negative about. However, the price looks short enough now that he is forced back up in class to tackle some better sorts and for price grounds alone I’m inclined to turn my attentions elsewhere. Plucky Dip has a similar profile having won his last two starts over this C&D, making light work of a 5lb rise and step up in grade last time. He’s in under a 6lb penalty though and this will be his third outing in a couple of weeks (his fifth in the last month), which is something I’m not too keen on as we all know that races take plenty out of horses. Shingle, although turning out quickly enough himself, hasn’t been as busy and remains an unexposed sort who could find improvement seemingly out of nowhere. Said improvement might come out now that he’s upped to 7f for the first time as he really shaped like one who’d relish the trip when flashing home into second over 6f at Kempton last time out. Today, he runs off the same mark (2lbs well-in) and has what should be a fine draw in stall 2. Ed de Giles’ yard seem to be in fine order and, with a bit of luck in-running, they should have an excellent chance of putting a winner on the slate. 5/1 is worthwhile.

 


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