James Boyle’s Horses To Follow – Week Fifteen
Nothing much happened in the past week. Just three from the HTF list ran and Polski Max was one of those. Richard Fahey’s charge dropped in trip to run at Ayr and he was really strong in the market, shortening from roughly 10/1 in the morning to an SP of 4/1. Unfortunately, he was too slow to live with the others and could only muster a fifth place finish. It was an all right effort though and over the minimum trip, the ground wasn’t soft enough for him to show his best. He remains one to be interested in and can pop up again soon.
Queensberry Rules had his first run for the squad when lining up in a reasonably valuable Haydock h’cap and wasn’t a million miles below running to his mark, for all that he didn’t run too well. Recent rain hindered his chances anyway as he’s the sort who wants a properly quick surface in order to show his best and that’s an easy way of excusing him. He’s capable of better, sometime, granted faster underfoot conditions.
Last up came Third Dimension and my patience with him is wearing thin. He stepped up in trip to 1m 2f for the first time but didn’t stay on what was soft ground at a fairly testing track. A combination of being too keen and going too quick did for him and there’s enough in place to suggest that he’s worth persisting with… just.
The preview columns didn’t do a whole lot better! We ended up with plenty of value about Kool Kompany in the Phoenix as 11/4 turned into 8/11, albeit due to the defection of the favourite Anthem Alexander who was wisely pulled out when the ground turned soft. Anyway, he ran well but second place was the end result as Aidan O’Brien mopped up another Group 1 with Dick Whittington (didn’t think he’d act on the ground). True Story was the other and he was a big steamer, 4/1 shortening to 9/4 on-course. Sadly the cash went astray as the Godolphin 3-year-old finished third and I think he’d have done better in a properly run race, but he’s clearly not one to rely on going forward (looks a really difficult ride).
Onto this week, those with entries are: Arantes, Confessional, Dominate, Polski Max & Redvers.
Horses To Follow – Week Fifteen:
Fattsota (9th August) –
David O’Meara’s 6-year-old Fattsota is a fairly exposed sort who is forced to run in hot races due to his lofty mark, but he’s evidently talented on his day and mightn’t be too far off returning to his best form. He definitely performed well at Haydock on Saturday, finishing fourth in a good race (ahead of HTF representative Queensberry Rules) and there may be reasons to upgrade the bare effort. For one, he’s probably best over 2f further and two, softer ground than he faced there would have suited better, especially over the trip, so I’m going to say the form is better than it looks in the book. Being back on his last winning mark is an obvious positive anyway, plus the handicapper may drop him a pound or two for Saturday’s run, and connections will surely go back up in trip NTO. The talent is there and with plenty of suitable races in the coming months, he could get back to winning ways.
Mount Logan (9th August) –
Earlier in the season, when Mount Logan bolted up at Goodwood on his reappearance as a 3-year-old, I thought that the Luca Cumani trained colt would make up into a really nice type who could win a good race. He went hunting some decent money next time out at the July course but wasn’t suited to the race-day rain easing the underfoot conditions and could never land a blow in a race won by the smart-looking Torchlighter. On Saturday, however, he showed something closer to his true worth when beaten little more than a length into third in a decent Haydock handicap and that came having been stepped up to a mile and a half for the first time. He appeared to stay the trip perfectly fine, which opens up further avenues to be explored, and could find even more improvement over it next time granted a well-run race on similarly decent ground. If the rain stays away, he can win soon.
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