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Schedule – November 2015

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Kempton Preview: Wednesday, 3rd September.

There’s not much rain around at the moment, which is a welcomed change to proceedings, but even so we’re going to concentrate on Kempton’s card this evening by taking a quick look at the five handicaps on offer. It’s not the highest quality of racing you’ll ever come across but some of them are decent heats and there are winners to be found… somehow!

 

5:40 – BetBright Mobile Apprentice Handicap (0-60; 1m 3f):

 

Nine runners are set to go to post here and the fact that seven of them are priced between 9/2 & 8/1 speaks volumes. It’s not an easy race to get a hold on but Thane Of Cawdor could be worth chancing on the back of a ten week lay-off. His recent form doesn’t inspire much confidence but he’s a previous C&D winner who has gained all of his successes at this track and that adds hope of a revival. Megan Carberry is a solid booking with her 5lb claim being good value in a race of this nature and although the pair aren’t ideally drawn, they are likely to drop out with a view to coming home late. Granted the breaks in-running and a proper race-pace, this fellow could get involved.

 

7:10 – BetBright Live The Moment Handicap (0-75; 1m):

 

A decent race full of 3-year-old’s, so there aren’t many results that would truly surprise. Cape Summit would appear to be the obvious bet at the current prices when you consider that she’s 8lbs better off with Windy Citi for a 1-length defeat over C&D three weeks ago, but preference is for Chris Wall’s filly in spite of that. It’s clear that she wasn’t at her best when having a quick reappearance last time and a much better showing could be in the offing now that she has had a proper gap between runs. Her penultimate start, also over C&D, saw her defy a mark of 60 by 5-lengths in hilariously impressive fashion and although much higher in the weights now, it’s warranted based on that performance. There could be a lot more to come on what is just her third start on this polytrack surface and despite this being her toughest task to date (not ideally drawn either), I think that she’ll win.

 

7:40 – BetBright Moneyback Offers Handicap (0-75; 1m):

 

This looks even more wide-open than the above couple of events but I’m against the top couple in the market, with Exceedexpectations’ recent fine run of form coming over a furlong shorter than today’s trip and Blazeofenchantment’s coming on fibresand. Both are obviously respected and far from ruled out as potential winners, but don’t appeal enough as solid betting propositions. Barnmore, on the other hand, does and he’s an interesting on the back of a solid fifth in a hotter race than this last time out. That came over 1m 2f, a trip that he was trying for the first time, and the tempo of the race didn’t suit as they turned it into a sprint that meant he had no chance from his sit towards the rear. He still managed to stay on like a horse who is in good order and granted a better pull into today’s equation, should go close. His mark is workable, he has a better pilot on board this time around and he’s well-drawn in stall 2, so all we have to hope for is the breaks at the right times. This is more his trip as well, purely because he’s more likely to get the proper gallop that suits best.

 

8:10 – BetBright.com Handicap (0-85; 1m 4f):

 

Another nine runners are set to line up in this and top-weight Noble Gift would make plenty of appeal if it were over a couple of furlongs shorter. He could well stay this trip but isn’t exactly bred for it and does have something to prove beyond 1m 2f, so is reluctantly swerved. Favourite Anglo Irish is 3-5 on this surface and is going the right way, but has to find more to defy a career-high mark and doesn’t look like much value at the current prices. Mythical Madness is the interesting one on his All-Weather debut and could be worth a punt at circa 11/2. He’s a lightly-raced son of Dubawi who shaped well in an unsuitably run race at Newbury last time out, finishing a close third behind the progressive Flippant. Like the favourite, he’s going to have to improve but stepping up to 1m 4f for the first time could help to bring that about and I’m fairly sure that it will, provided he does handle this new surface. The betting will probably inform us of what’s expected in that regard (the yard do very well here) but, for now, he’s worthy of a shot and should be capable of playing ball.

 

8:40 – Dizzee Rascal Live Here On Saturday Handicap (0-65; 1m 3f):

 

Thirteen to sift through this time and it’s another hard race to get a handle on. King Calypso was a good winner when better than the bare margin here last time out and will be of obvious interest to many. However, he’s down a furlong in trip and 7lbs higher in the weights, so hasn’t got the easiest task on his hands. There could be a lot more to come and his trainer knows the time of day, but this is competitive and the current quotes are tight enough. The second favourite, James Eustace’s Sandy Cove, makes more appeal, especially at this trip. He has been campaigned at mainly 1m 2f in recent times but stepped up to 1m 4f at Brighton last time out and ran a cracking race in a slightly higher grade than this, hitting the front a couple of furlongs from home and only getting headed late in the day. Dropping back in trip to the tune of a furlong would appear to be a plus on the back of that outing and off the same mark, is given every chance by the handicapper. Ryan Tate hops back on board to take off a handy 3lbs and a price-tag of 5/1 looks to be on the decent side.

 


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