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Schedule – November 2015

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Test

Odeon worth a bet in Listed Glasgow Stakes at Hamilton

Going to take a quick look at the Listed event up at Hamilton, one of two stakes races in Britain today. It’s quite an interesting contest and Postponed could be really hard to beat should the 7/4 favourite improve for this extra furlong as much as his visual impression would suggest.

 

Last time out, particularly, Luca Cumani’s 3-year-old colt looked in need of a trip further than 1m 2f when staying on strongly into third place in the Group 3 Tercentenary Stakes at Royal Ascot, a good race (in truth, a race that’s much better than this) won by a nice horse in Cannock Chase.

 

Further improvement could and should be there, but his run-style mightn’t be entirely suited to the nature of Hamilton’s track and it’s not like he’s miles clear of some of these on ratings, for all that he’s the obviously in-form horse. At the current prices, he’s hardly worth the bother and I’ll swerve.

 

Sudden Wonder could be interesting for Charlie Appleby and Godolphin. The son of New Approach flopped in the Epsom Derby (sent off 66/1) but that’s completely understandable as he hadn’t a hope in hell anyway, plus the track seemed to be as unsuitable as possible. Better can be expected now but he has something to prove, even on his best form. Other contenders with a bit to prove include Ayrad and Impulsive Moment, but it would hardly be a shock if either of them were to bounce back and get heavily involved. The issue I’d have with them is how effective they’ll be on quick ground, assuming that there’s no rain, and that’s off-putting enough to make me leave alone, even though they’re respected dangers.

 

The runner that I do like is James Given’s Odeon, a full brother to St Leger runner-up Kite Wood. He’s going to improve over a trip in due course, as his breeding would suggest, but a test like this is suitable for now and quotes of 6/1 are appealing. You can ignore his run at Royal Ascot when well behind the classy looking Eagle Top, as he sweated up badly beforehand and failed to give his true running. The occasion got the better of him, as it did when he was withdrawn from another race recently having bolted around the track, and it’s always a risk that it could happen again. However, if he behaves himself then he would have serious form claims on his close Dante fourth (only 3-lengths behind French Derby winner The Grey Gatsby) and this track should really favour his style of running if Graham Lee decides to point and shoot once again. It’s clear that the horse also has a bit to prove, hence why he’s not shorter – as he would be if coming into this on the back of the Dante – but the risk is worthwhile at the prices and he’ll go well if he doesn’t blow up beforehand.

 

Selection for the Glasgow Stakes (8:10 Hamilton; Friday, 18th July):

 

Odeon Silks Odeon – 6/1, available with a few firms.

 


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