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Rory Delargy’s Preview – 29th September 2014

The Monday preview from Rory Delargy of the Irish Field with five selections – hear him on RacingFM today and miss none of the action with the RacingFM App –

 

 

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Hamilton:

2.10 – 5f Handicap (Class 6)

 
This contest is not the most attractive at first glance, but dig a little deeper, and the claims of Bronze Beau are crystal clear. A speedy sort who usually plies his trade at a higher level, this represents a first ever outing in a Class 6 handicap, and that factor can see him bounce back from a series of below-par runs. He actually broke his maiden over this C&D as a 3-y-o, and simply has too many guns for today’s rivals, as he showed when runner-up in a very competitive 0-85 event at Thirsk in May. It’s been downhill since the middle of the summer, which will put plenty off, but I’m happy to side with one who is now given a rare chance to dominate, and should have this field stretched out by halfway if showing any of his old sparkle.

 
3.10 – 6f Classified Claimer

 
I’ve been waiting for Emily Davison to be given another try at 6f for a while, and am happy to dismiss her poor effort at the trip at Carlisle 4 weeks ago. She was tried in blinkers there, but reacted badly to the change of headgear, finishing last having gone too freely. That’s not her running at all, and she is normally noted staying on well over 5f after getting outpaced, a trait again in evidence at Redcar last time. She has already shown a liking for this venue, winning a 5f handicap earlier in the season with a strong finish, having been nearer last than first at the furlong pole. That run again suggested she’d do much better given another furlong to travel, and while she’s not favoured by the weights of this classified event, that was also the case when she sprung a massive surprise at Ripon in June. She would make more appeal contesting a well-run handicap, but I simply can’t ignore here at 14/1 or bigger.

 
4.40 – 6f Handicap (Class 4)

 
This is undoubtedly the race of the day at Hamilton, and chances can be given to at least half of the field. One who appeals at a huge price is Al Khan, who saves his best for for undulating tracks such as this, and can be forgiven a bad run at Chester on his most recent outing. Previous efforts here and at Carlisle read well enough, and the general 33/1 being bandied about is rather insulting for one with his profile. It’s also worth mentioning King of Eden, who represents the back-to-form Eric Alston yard, and is also overpriced on the back of a forgivable bad run (in his case it was the virus which saw him blow out, but the yard is finally over that affliction). That pair are likely to feature as savers/forecast mixers with my main selection, which is dual C&D winner Baron Run. The Karl Burke inmate ran a shocker at Ayr prior to scoring here on his penultimate start, and then repeated that feat in the Bronze Cup. It simply seems that he doesn’t give his running at Ayr, but makes plenty of appeal returned to his favoured venue, especially as this looks no tougher than the competitive event he won a few weeks ago.

 
Bath:
2.20 – 1¼m Nursery

 
There are only a handful of races over this trip for juveniles every season, and it goes without saying that stamina is a prerequisite. The most notable aspect of this contest is that hardly any of the runners are genuinely bred to stay middle distances, and a “touch of the slows” isn’t an adequate substitute.
Kifaaya ought to stay further than this in time given he’s out of Northumberland Plate winner Juniper Girl, but he failed to improve for the step up to 1m at Carlisle on his latest outing, hanging under pressure into the bargain. He may bounce back, but is short enough in the betting after that display. Few of the others with form are convincing, but there are strong reasons to expect better from Avenue du Monde, a well-named son of Champs Elysses out of a Pentire mare who has already produced a pair who stay 15f. He’s done his running in maidens at up to 6f, which is patently too sharp for him on breeding, and he looks the sort to improve markedly now taking a hike in trip.

 
4.20 – 5f Handicap (Class 6)

 
A low-grade affair, but plenty of the runners are capable of scoring in the grade, and it looks a decent medium for a bet. Johnny Feane has made a fine start to his training career (won a big-field handicap at the Curragh yesterday with Prince Connoisseur), and puts a hood on C&D winner Best Be Careful, who must be respected, but it’s course regular Molly Jones who earns the vote. Normally a reliable sort who finishes strongly from off the pace, she flopped last time, but that modest effort came after missing the start – a fact exacerbated by her rider failing to get her hood off in time after she reared slightly in the stalls. In addition, that came in a much tougher 0-75 contest, and her lifetime record in Class 6 races at Bath reads 3221311 . She is drawn wide of centre, which should be ideal (low draws expected to be disadvantaged), and looks a solid each-way bet as long as she avoids a repeat of her latest stalls blip.

 

Rory Delargy

 


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