Today’s Preview with Rory Delargy – 8th October 2014
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As much as Kalimantan won easily at Chepstow, giving the impression he was well in front of the handicapper, he’s going to go off very short here (probably a shade of odds on) and this represents a different test for him. As such, Ullswater looks the e/w bet to nothing. A winner over C&D for Andy Turnell last season, he will be having his second run today for Emma Lavelle, who gives the impression she might be about to hit form.
He ran deplorably, despite being made favourite, on the first run for the yard at Stratford in August but the tongue tie, which was on for his win, was missing and that run is probably best forgotten. The decent pace that should be set by Vertueux would be to his benefit, and if there are any chinks in the favourite’s armour then he’s the one most likely to benefit.
Taroum beat Con Forza an easy 5 lengths at Chepstow on his latest outing but there’s grounds for thinking that over this extra half mile Phil Middleton’s 5-y-o might be able to gain revenge. The visor he wore for the first time that day seemed to help him settle better in front and although he was readily outpaced by the winner, he was sticking on well enough after the last and had certainly pegged the deficit, perhaps even reducing it a little. A bumper winner over 2m2f, this longer trip and stiffer track should both help, and he gives the impression there’s more to come now. Despite Taroum’s win there, his overall strike rate remains poor and wouldn’t be one to be trusting to follow up at a short price.
A competitive event for sure, but first time up for his new stable (Dan Skelton) could well be the time to catch What A Warrior. Formerly with Nigel Twiston-Davies, he showed some of his best form when fresh (twice in October as well) and went very close to landing a good quality handicap at Chepstow on his first run last season (ran future Scottish National winner Al Co to under half a length). His form soon tailed off though, so much so he begins this season on a 12lb lower mark. His new trainer has wasted little time in applying a tongue tie, and this course winner’s chance is there to see.
This is the Paddy Power MBS race, so appeals for betting purposes despite having a trappy look. The two who interest me are Naoise, who has not had the best of luck/rides since joining Ollie Pears, and still looks fairly handicapped, and Sword of The Lord, who has had a disappointing season, but represents a yard which emerged from the doldrums with a 33/1 winner at Ascot last week. I’d be inclined to split a point (win only) on that pair, with the money back concession for 2nd/3rd enough of an incentive for what represents a slight shot in the dark.
Rory Delargy 08/10/14
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