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Schedule – November 2015

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Saturday Preview with Rebel Racing

Yesterday I stated my confidence in posting a small profit on what was a decent Friday’s racing. Unfortunately we could only break even on the day with Red Pike finishing second at 10/1 for each way returns, unlucky to lose out to Jamaican Bolt who finally decided to win a race. Zipp was my other selection and it was fairly obvious that she wasn’t right, never travelling in the straight and given an easy time thereafter. Could it have been a case of the quick ground runs coming back to haunt connections? We’ll never know, onto a lovely card at Leopardstown today.

 

Tomorrow Morning  for Ted Walsh has been in my tracker for a nursery since August when she made her debut at Tipperary. She was a fast finishing fourth that day under a considerate ride by Billy Lee making loads of headway late on over 7 furlongs to finish a length behind the 74 rated Cruidin. That run was a sign of things to come in maidens as in each run thereafter she has been held up way out the back before staying on under hands and heels into midfield. Tom Madden takes the ride in her first nursery and rides Leopardstown well for a seven pound claimer. She is a full sister to the decent Buckstay who won as a two year old  and over a mile and handled a bit of cut so the ground and trip should be perfect and she has also shown plenty of scope for improvement if given a more prominent ride over a trip that should suit much better. At 16/1 she may be worth taking a chance on in what is of course a wide open race with a lot of unknowns but if this filly has only a 16/1 chance then there must a good few very well handicapped sorts among this lot.

 

Cairdiuil doesn’t look like a 14/1 shot in the apprentice handicap at 4.55. He ran a very good race last time out at Listowel when a two and a half length third to the well handicapped Tony Martin trained Shalamzar. He was only beaten half a length by Hasanour who had been sent off favourite for the Irish Cambridgeshire the time before. That gives his form a very solid look but he actually looked like he had the race won a furlong from home before paying for an earlier pace battle to only finish third (they had set up the race for the held up Shalamzar). Both ground and track hold no fears for this fella who is clearly in the form of his life and he should relish the uphill finish here. Provided they don’t go too hard up front (which they tend to do in a lot of apprentice races) he should go close under Downey which is obviously a very good booking for an apprentice race.

 

Strandfield Lady has to be the value at 14/1 in the concluding race at 5.25. Harry Rogers mare has won 8 times around the south Dublin track and showed she retained all her ability last time when fourth at Navan. She was actually bang there at the furlong pole before fading near the finish but she races over a furlong shorter here today and returns to a track where I reckon she is about 6 pounds better than everywhere else. Keith Moriarty claims a lovely ten which can make the difference in these kinds of races. Obviously Pyromaniac and Cailini Alainn have clear claims but they are priced accordingly and with the potentially well handicapped Katie T’s price nearly gone it seems clear that Strandfield Lady is the remaining value in the field.

 

By John Ring / Rebel Racing

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