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Schedule – November 2015

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Tipperary Preview

A seven race card opens with the 5f Maiden with 7 runners heading to post. Aidan O’Brien runs the 90 rated filly Simply a Star who sets a good standard. She is closely matched with the main danger Folk Law over this course and distance behind the latters stable companion Accepted. There was just over a length between them that day, so the form could be reversed. David Wachman’s Spirit of Wedza could chase the home for third.

 

The following 5f Abergwaun Stakes is one of two Listed races on the card and the admirably consistent Russian Soul looks the one to beat. With a rating of 111 he sets a high standard but he carries a 5lb penalty for his Group 3 win at Meydan. He narrowly won this race last year and will be hard to beat.

The English Raider Sir Maximilian is improving rapidly having won the Rockingham at the Curragh in July, he finished a close sixth in the Stewards Cup at Goodwood. He looks a big threat to all. Abstraction has been running well in Meydan over the Winter but has a 170 day absence to overcome. David Marnane’s Jamsie deserves a big win and when things fall right he should win a big one. He’s won over this C+D before and he should be finishing his race off well.

 

My Good Brother has been a revelation since winning at Dundalk by over 5 lengths. He has continued to defy the hits by the handicapper and he steps into Listed company for the second time. He gave 6lb to Sir Maximilian in the Rockingham and should get closer to him off levels here.

 

The following 5f Handicap looks even more open with nine speedballs going to post. The Sprint King Ed Lynam runs the consistent 3yo filly Lady Mega, who gets on well with regular rider Robbie Downey. She is very consistent and was a very well backed favourite in the Rockingham. Robbie was 1lb overweight and she got upset in the stalls, so she looks better than that form. She takes a drop in class today and will be very hard to beat. Shipyard who was just behind her in the Rockingham looks a threat, as does Tylery Wonder who doesn’t get his head in front often.

 

The Coolmore Canford Cliffs Stakes looks a three horse race and the Aidan O’Brien trained East India looks a bright prospect and is the one to beat. He won on debut despite being slowly away and running very green, he also idled in front so he can be considered better than the form and he should improve a lot for the his first outing. The third horse was rated 96 so he looks very exciting. The Dermot Weld trained Tombelaine looks the chief threat and the form of his debut win was well advertised by the second Highland Reel who won a Group 2 at Goodwood. He finished second of three in the Tyros Stakes at Leopardstown behind the Aidan O’Brien trained Gleneagles and  just finished in front of Ger Lyons Convergence that day, so they should be tightly matched once again.

 

John Oxx’s Looper should be hard to beat in the extended 7f Maiden. She ran a promising race in a decent maiden at Fairyhouse over 6f where she got outpaced but ran on really well on the outside when the penny dropped. She looked a sure-fire maiden winner that day and she will take all the beating here now stepped up in trip.

 

Jim Bolger is double handed with Crudin and Fields of May and it may be the latter who gives the favourite most to think about. Aidan O’Brien runs debutant Along the Shore who should improve for the experience. Of the other newcomers Paul Deegan’s Corail, David Wachman’s Back on Top and Green Artist should be watched closely.

 

The Penultimate race on the card, the extended 7f Apprentice Handicap, could go the way of the red hot Tony Martin who has been having plenty of winners of late. He runs Anner Queen who got no run at Down Royal on her last start. She dwelt and was dropped in the rear and was always travelling smoothly but didn’t get into the clear until it was too late. She got 2lb for that but that looks lenient as she probably would have won easily with a smoother passage that day and something worth noting is she has three other entries this week, meaning she could carry a penalty if she wins this race tonight. Right First finished ahead of her that day but is likely to struggle to uphold that form tonight. Millington should get involved aswell.

 

The Final race on the card, the Follow Tipperary Races on Facebook Ladies Handicap looks open, with many of the 11 runners given solid chances. Katie OFarrel rides the favourite Lily the Lioness who couldn’t arrive here in better form. She is only 3lb higher than when finishing a close second behind easy Galway winner Ridestan, so she looks the one to beat on that form. Cottesloe, Easter Spirit, Moreece and Mahrajaan are worth considering in a open race.

 

Sean Jackson  8/8/14


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