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Today’s Info 10th July 2014

Good morning

 

The start of the Newmarket July meeting has been met with some downpours so expect a going change or two should more materialise.

 

I expect Windshear to be a tough nut to crack in the opener but the prices don’t give much room for a punt, happy to watch it unless we are able to grab 3s plus and if so will be backing the Hannon runner who has impressed me a few times this year behind good horses.

 

A really good contest next in the Group 2 July Stakes and I am tempted by the odds of Jungle Cat and The Great War but it is a leap to suggest that Belardo and Ivawood aren’t already past them in terms of form and progression is almost guaranteed of course. Another contst to watch rather than leap into although I do find it hard to see Jungle Cat not in amongst the finish, just for win purposes I’m not sure you can be confident of collecting.

 

Eyes very much on the improving Arab Spring in the next and he will take plenty of the market out but also lots of beating under Ryan Moore. I’d love to take him on at the odds given that the win at Ascot was made to look better by such a good ride and no nonsense approach whereas this may be a little more tactical. The biggest danger is the stable mate and that makes it ultra trappy taking him on with one from the same barn, not something I like to do too often. At bigger prices Dandino is a shade on the overpriced side and same applies to Excellent Result if you knew the shape he is in on return. I expect the Stoute pair to fight it out which is hardly original though.

 

Readers of my column will know how I regard What About Carlo and despite top weight in the following Handicap he has to run another big race for Eve Johnson Houghton and Jimmy Fortune. The win at Epsom was taking and justified the trainers and my own hopes for plenty to come from the beast. This is tough with the weights but I am only concerned by the Cumani horse Mount Logan and at the odds it’s a simple enough wager to cover. I hope What About Carlo continues to impress but stakes are not high, the bit of rain about is a plus.

 

I was impressed enough with the Ascot run of Windfast for Brian Meehan and up to a mile now might just eek out a little more from the quick enough Exceed and Excel colt. Another one for Jimmy Fortune to steer and the way they finished at Ascot will have him pretty confident of getting home in a decent race with something to aim at. Pretzel is obviously a big danger but Windfast is a grown up and hopefully can be tough at the finish. The prices, with very little to find on what has been seen make him a fair enough play.

 

I’d punt in the last if I could get a better grip on it but I’m struggling. Oh So Sassy if a few points bigger could be chanced and so could Commanche but I’m decided enough that’s it too tough.

 

At Epsom I have one bet with Angelic Upstart, one of mine to follow and not really repaid the faith to date but I’m happy with the set up for this race and Oisin Murphy has options with this one. I expect a below par run from the fav Sir Guy Porteous who had complete run of the race the last day. The selections run behind Abseil is a standard bearer and I think they will be tough to beat.

 

Advice –

 

Newmarket –

 

3.15 – What About Carlo 1pt Win – 15/2 General

3.15 – Mount Logan 0.5pt Win – 4/1 General

 

4.25 – Windfast 0.75pt e/w – 8/1 General, 10s and 9s in places

 

Epsom – 

 

7.15 – Angelic Upstart 1pt Win – 9/2 General

 

The Judge 


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