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Schedule – November 2015

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Today’s Info 11th July 2015

Set for another huge day with so much top racing around and how do you fit it all in?!

 

We got a return with a huge run from Accession yesterday and it was needed after a few of our selections didn’t fire or got little luck in running and that’s all part of the parcel we wrap each day.

 

So we can start with the July Cup and I think Brazen Beau can win, expect the Aussie raider to be better settled now and with company under James Doyle can go one better than at Royal Ascot – it’s not a punting price though in such a competitive sprint where you do need things to drop right and I’ll be a watching enthusiast rather than a punter in what will be a corker. You can make cases for Anthem Alexander and Astaire being over priced currently but happy to leave it be.

 

The Bunbury Cup looks a decent redemption chance for Ayaar who was so impressive on seasonal return and then seemed to just drop away when all was on course for a repeat romp at Royal Ascot. Conditions are perfect for Cumani’s charge and I can’t let him go without support as I just think he can still show more and step up again.

 

Pat Smullen jocked up for Suzi’s Connoisseur is a strong move from Stuart Williams and Pat will suit this sprinter who looks a bit overpriced after a decent run in the Wokingham and on bits of unlucky form at this track. Trip is the ideal and as a second dart I think just coming to the boil nicely for a crack at this pot.

 

I wanted to back Lightening Spear against Arod at Ascot but the price is too short to feel accomodated at a value level. I’m not a big Arod fan and will be taking him on at the prices with the lay button but Lightening Spear impressed me a lot on return and whilst has a gap to bridge I think he can do that – the tissue prices were exciting but at 7/2 that’s a bit tight.

 

With the non runners in the Silver Cup at York I though Asteroneus would be hard to side with at likely prices but 11/2 is more than fair for a horse with rock solid form and still lightly raced enough to move forward again. Hard to see anything but another strong effort and has conditions in favour once again.

 

In the John Smiths Cup I could easily play four or five but Mount Logan is the one of biggest appeal. Huge run at the Royal meeting and unlucky not to go very close this represents a perfect race for him and Kevin Stott is a great booking. Bar a heavy ground flop and a very excusable effort at Epsom the horse is on a nice upward curve and not yet fully utilised. A race where I have respect for many but Mount Logan could be the one with plenty up his sleeve on what I’ve seen so far. It makes sense to chuck change on Ajman Bridge to avoid jumping off one later too…..

 

Lots of racing and the focus on the bigger contests of course, oh for the powers that be to split it up over a glorious week and allow each of the big races to take a bit of the centre stage…..

 

Advice –

 

York 2.20 – Asteroneus 1pt e/w – 11/2 General

 

Newm 3.10 – Ayaar 0.75pt Win – 7/1 General

Newm 3.10 – Suzi’s Connoissuer 0.75pt e/w – 14/1 General, 4 places

 

York 3.25 – Mount Logan 1pt e/w – 10/1 General, 5 places with BET365, BetfairSB and Sky Bet

 

The Judge


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