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Today’s Info 15th May 2015 – York Day Three

Good morning.

 

The Derby picture is clearer isn’t it? Well perhaps not. Golden Horn might go, and if so will go off favorite with the doubt over the trip to be debated, Aidan O’Brien is searching for his number one and number two contender still and Jack Hobbs may well be diverted to a Royal Ascot engagement but with enhanced credability for whatever they decide. Elm Park might be the one to have made the biggest statement yesterday in what was a very adequate return and is one that looks possibly best suited to the Epsom task ahead of them in a few weeks time. I’d be with Andrew Balding’s charge but we have a lack of a main contender who absolutely demands the top spot still and not long for that to change.

 

On to today and it’s a another super day at the track with the Yorkshire Cup crowning the afternoon. It looks a three horse affair with Brown Panther holding what looks an ace hand but it’s not a punting race for me this time and happy to watch what unfolds.

 

The 2.40 has a couple of secy profile horses with Top Tug and Ajman Bridge heading the market and both would be likely winners given connections and surely offer a bit more to come. The ground has come right for the latter and Cumani’s might well be the main one of the two to focus on but there is interest in the field for me with Esteaming of David Barron’s yard and the mount of Graham Gibbons.

 

Ran well at the track in October when behind Old Town Boy but has good claims of reversing that this afternoon and ran a good race on return behind Buthelezi at Musselburgh when held up and then didn’t quite go through with it at Hamilton when in the mix under a big weight at the beginning of the month. Does act on better ground, has a nice weight and is capable of running right up to the mark and hopefully with a bit better ground go past his perch and figure in the finish. Over priced to take a hand and chancing the odds against a couple of horses who might be shorter than they should be makes sense.

 

Mark Johnston’s three year old Yorkidding is of interest in the last. The better ground and the step up to a 1m4f trip will be key to seeing more improvment and she has highlighted her ability nicely so far but probably doing better than she should have on softer ground. Should be hard to beat this time round and rolling heere under SDS I think she will be hard to stop.

 

At Aintree the chance of Drop Out Joe in the handicap chase is pretty clear at 7.40. Gavin Sheehan has another chance to ride him and this is a significant drop in grade considering the opposition due to the time of year. Lightly enough raced of course especially since the turn of the year and decent ground, experience gained and the race shaped as it is he should be very competitive before possibly a tilt at something decent before the winter kicks in but certainly should be mixing it in the better action this winter. Jumping can make making lots of ground up difficult in better races but will hopefully put in a nice clear round and I hope that will be enough to take the race.

 

Advice –

 

York 2.40 – Esteaming 0.75pt e/w – 20/1 Victor, Stans and 888

 

York 5.20 – Yorkidding 0.75pt Win – 7/2 General

 

Aintree 7.40 – Drop Out Joe 0.75pt e/w – 13/2 Lads, BET365 and Victor

 

The Judge

 

 

 

 


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