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Schedule – November 2015

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Today’s Info 17th October 2015

Champions day at Ascot and the will he run saga reaches another round of farce with Gleneagles – if he can’t run today then you have to wonder what the talented legs are made of under the engine of a seriously smart three year old. It’s close to a tilt at the states so it might be that they just head there for the last outing but this is a situation that has now got to the silly stage.

 

Solow will pose a super test of his mettle but without knowing if they match up it just puts a cloud over the day where there isn’t one looming in the sky just yet. I think if he runs he wins but I’d just like to see him again as I am sure many would.

 

The card starts with the Long Distance Cup and Forgotten Rules will bid to go in again, interupted stuff this year from Weld’s stayer and eyes surely here from the finishing line last season. Conditions fine, horse more than capable and without a star in the division maybe he can come through again. A bigger price than last year when I thought he had mountains to prove against an Estimate and Leading Light but this looks easier despite how that race turned out on the day.

 

Muhaarar is a star and one who deserves to crown himself with another win in the sprint on the card, hard to see a similar effort of his best this term falling short so it’s not that bad a bet at the odds to confirm himself again as the king this term.

 

Simple Verse should be the jolly for the next in my book,  a class performance in the St Leger has been a little overlooked by the fall out from stewards to appeal and the price is too big to win again. Should have improvement still, will get a solid pace to aim at and has to take the beating. Bocca Bacciata is one I like at a big price for the race over the extra distance, she is a classy filly and has been thereabouts in the big events this term, her best efforts can still be improved on and the ground will hold no fears for Fran Berry to time a run at them again off a fast pace which will suit.

 

It’s short for the likes of this column but Jack Hobbs looks a little overpriced to win the Champion Stakes, ticked over with an All Weather gallop taking a Group 3 and now back in amongst the good ones can confirm to be superior with the absence of Golden Horn.

 

Sacrificial fits the bill for the Balmoral and has been kept away for this and was given plenty to do last time, the Brittania run shows the level is there and is on the right side for the main players. A bit of luck in running and the three year old can go very close for Colin Keane.

 

Elsewhere a couple of jumpers to have on side with one each at Market Rasen and Stratford.

 

Desert Joe is lightly raced for the age and Alan King’s charge sets the bar at 3.55 in a tight heat. If they have him ripe for the first go back I think he will come out on top against a similar type in Viva Steve. The conditions favour King’s runner and he is seriously hardy so a good round of jumping I think he merits a bet.

 

The other is Carrigmorna King who loves Stratford and had a blow first time back with hopefully eyes on this meeting for Phillip Hobbs. Tom O’Brien has the ride with Dickie elsewhere but that’s no problem and fitness g’teed now against a few that might prove better for a spin I think he is overpriced each way today.

 

Advice –

 

Ascot 12.45 – Forgotten Rules 0.5pt Win – 6/1 General

 

Ascot 1.20 – Muhaarar 1pt Win – 5/2 General

 

Ascot 1.55 – Simple Verse 1pt Win – 6/1 General

Ascot 1.55 – Bocca Baciata 0.5pt e/w – 25/1 General

 

Stratford 2.55 – Carrigmorna King 0.75pt e/w – 12/1 Coral, Hills Victor

 

Ascot 3.45 – Sacrificial 0.75pt e/w – 15/2 General, 4 places

 

M Rasen 3.55 – Desert Joe 1pt Win – 4/1 General

 

The Judge


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