Today’s Info 18th April 2015
Some day in store with a great renewal of the Scottish National and the bubbles lined up to pop or soar in the Greenham at Newbury.
Starting with the level I’m a huge fan of Flaming Spear since his taking debut win and when we spoke to David Redvers on RacingFM at the backend of last year his enthusiasm for the colt was literally infectious. Considered the “best horse they have in training” which says a lot considering their strength of resources and this is an acid test today ahead of a prospective tilt at Classic glory.
Ivawood is the one to beat clearly and rightly at the top of the market, at the prices I’ll accept him winning well and going forward to better things bit I do hope Flaming Spear can justify the reputation and lay down his own marker in the race. I’ve a small bet on him today and also have played for the 2000 Guineas which obviously makes sense now before he runs this afternoon. It’s a great race and the Guineas winner is very likely lurking in the field.
Also on the card we have a tricky to solve handicap at 3.25 which is headed by Richard Fahey’s talented Gabrial who was excellent at Doncaster and will bid to go on from there in this minefield. I’m hoping for a bit more luck with Ayaar this season who got none last year in the big handicaps and is perched to win a nice race this term. If he gets a clear crack at this with no traffic problems then I don’t think the mark will prove a problem so he looks a play on seasonal return although Luca yet to fire them in during the early season salvos.
The other in the race that I am keeping tabs with is Big Baz who has come to himself at last, the big strapping horse threatened to be very good and is proving himself on the all weather to be on route. Has more to offer and is an ideal type for these races so might be a little overpriced for a return to turf and hopefully can improve again this summer.
Sticking with Cumani interesting that one of his potential improvers for this term is aimed at the opener on the card, a race he does well in and Lunasea could be very smart. Two starts last season and obviously given time I am hoping that the plan comes off with a big run under Adam Kirby and whilst the race is full of similar profile types he looks one to keep on side this season.
At Ayr I like Puffin Billy in the opener although the price is about right for him in search of a hatrick, a very honest horse and showed great tendencies winning last time, can hopefully do so again for the Grand National winning trainer and jockey combination.
I know Top Gamble let the side down at Ascot but he ran away with affairs that day and should be favorite to put that right this afternoon in the following race. Been in great form, nicely campaigned and may have just been too fresh so with that run in the bank should be less free and little better behaved for the taking over Richard Johnson. Looks a very fair price on his best form and no reason to expect him not to have a bit more to come.
The Champion Hurdle looks very hard and I’m swerving although if Irving is out of bed the right side then he has to have strong claims from the top of the card.
The National looks hugely open, Gallant Oscar has been bought for a few quid and comes with strong claims for JP and Tony Martin to immediately repay a little back. I’ve gone a lot deaper in the market though in search of some less obvious picks and with a bit of luck might be able to unearth a rag with a chance or two!
Wiesentraum looks a player on best efforts and improved in the early part of this season for Lucy Wadham before missing the soft ground action in the winter hopefully by choice rather than problems. Returned over a trip too short last month and is booked up for Nico De Boinville which looks a good move given his recent travails. Stays really well, likes decent ground and in on the upgrade so hard to see why so unconsidered in the betting and we will find out later whether that is correct or not!
The other is Raz De Maree for Irish National winning trainer Sandra Hughes and Bryan Cooper is booked up on the former Cork and Munster National winner. Stays and jumps well for a small type and whilst the ground might be a little quicker than ideal he does handle better terrain. Second in the marathon at Uttoxeter advertises his well being although had no chance of winning under Paul Carberry he could step up again off his mark should be thereabouts with a clear round.
Lastly I’d throw Houblon Des Obeaux into the mix considering his exploits this season but has had a tough year and it is a big ask to hump a lot of weight around once more, I’d love him to win and his second to Many Clouds at Newbury was a monster run, if he goes to the well again and finds himself involved he will battle away so scheckles in order at least to avoid any despair later.
I’m on the desk at RacingFM this afternoon so look forward to it all!
Ayr 1.25 – Puffin Bily 0.5pt Win – 7/2 General
Ayr 2.00 – Top Gamble 1pt Win – 4/1 General
Ayr 3.45 – Wiesentraum 0.5pt e/w – 80/1 General, 5 places
Ayr 3.45 – Raz De Maree 0.5pt e/w – 33/1 General, 5 places
Ayr 3.25 – Houblon Des Obeaux 0.25pt Win – 25/1 General
Newbury 1.15 – Lunasea 0.75pt Win – 5/1 General
Newbury 2.50 – Flaming Spear 0.75pt e/w – 8/1 General
Newbury 3.25 – Ayaar 0.75pt Win – 12/1 General
Newbury 3.25 – Big Baz 0.5pt Win – 14/1 General
Ante Post – 2000 Guineas Flaming Spear 0.75pt Win – 20/1 Generaal
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