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Today’s Info 19th July 2014

Tarfasha is strong as Oak

 

Not quite Super Saturday this weekend but with lots of top racing on the feast continues for punters. I’d love for it to be spread around over the working week rather than cram every good race in to a weekend slot but if that gets people to go to the track and offers more opportunity for courses to make money it is a difficult trade off.

 

With no Taghrooda in her way the scene is perfectly set for Dermot Weld’s Tarfasha to gain a Classic victory in the Darley Irish Oaks at The Curragh on Saturday afternoon.

 

She was beaten by a better filly at Epsom and only just got the better of a re opposing Volume that day. However she didn’t get everything right at Epsom and is by far the most likely winner this time. To my mind it is a doubtful stayer in Marvellous that assists to nicely hold up a fair chunk of the market so we have a chance to get a fair price on side. You can understand the owner deciding to run Taghrooda elsewhere and set this up for Tarfasha and I hope those race planning tactics work well, just as the decision to run both against each other at Epsom paid off with a delightful one two finish.

 

The rest of the card at The Curragh is also excellent and Newsletter will certainly be on my radar after running such a massive race for connections at Royal Ascot behind Anthem Alexander. They take aim now at the Group 3, Angelsey Stakes and will be pretty confident of landing the prize with the opposition holding limited concern if repeating the Ascot heroics.

 

There is nothing like a bit of decent quality Summer Jumps action to take your mind off the quantity and mostly quality frenetic nature of the flat season in full swing. Market Rasen provides just that opportunity and both the Summer Hurdle and Summer Plate provide nice looking betting heats.

 

Montbazon is top weight for the hurdle but full of class and with plenty more to come granted proper summer ground. Alan King has had to settle for winter ground of course when the stakes are higher and having brought his charge back to Cheltenham in March was in my opinion unlucky not to win the County Hurdle. A few in the field ran way below par in the Scottish Champion at Ayr which was the next port of call and drawing a line under that is easy enough.

 

This field has potential within it but as for something that can mix it with Montbazon under ideal conditions I am not sure. With a preparation including two starts on the level then all it needs is for the rain to stay away and a big run is assured. Well worth each way support with a class edge on side.

 

It is Alan King again who looks to have one readied with his runner in the Plate as Pantxoa will line up under favourable conditions and is a horse I have always had a lot of time for. It took a few seasons to properly mature but last year Pantxoa improved bundles and despite a recent run at Uttoxeter hardly inspiring any confidence the seven year old will be much happier at this track and still has more to offer. Underestimated quickly due to a few factors which can be understood and in a race of this nature could easily resume progression, worth an each way wager.

 

Back on the level only one other bet stands out and it has potential for a bad luck story with 25 runners set to go to post for the Wetherbys Super Sprint at Newbury. That said Tiggy Wiggy impressed me at Royal Ascot going down to Anthem Alexander and just as I will be keen to follow the form with Newsletter this weekend I will be doing the same with this Richard Hannon juvenile.

 

Already officially the best in the field and with top experience and a nice break since Ascot then I am fairly comfortable suggesting a wager at the likely odds.

 

Selections

 

2.55 Market Rasen

Montbazon 1pt e/w – 10/1 with most firms

 

3.30 Market Rasen

Pantxoa 0.75pt e/w – 25/1 available

 

3.50 Newbury

Tiggy Wiggy 1pt Win – 4/1 with most firms

 

5.45 Curragh

Tarfasha 2pt Win – 5/2 with PP and 9/4 general

 

The Judge


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