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Today’s Info 1st May 2014

 

Sumptuous racing at Punchestown once more and we could be seeing the last, on course at least, of Quevega – a wonder mare who is or might be carrying a future star with her today as reported, then unconfirmed, as in foal this week to Beat Hollow. True or not we will find out in time, these things are hard to keep secret for long, it is probably fair to suggest she wont need the performance enhancement that often comes with such condition to beat off her 9 rivals this afternoon.

The odds against will appeal to many but as those who have followed Onthenoseinfo in the past will know well I don’t suggest wagers below 5/2 as a starting point and so if you plough in I think you will be successful but I’m not joining you on the project. At Fishers Cross and Fingal Bay are next best in the market but the likes of Bog Warrior and Glens Melody seem to have been done the most injustice by the layers and double figures for them look the way to go if taking on Beat Hollow’s new bird.

The opener on the card looks horrid but Fire Fighter for Adrian Maguire could be well perched off 116 having had a tune up on the level and with conditions far more to his liking that than the heavy ground encountered three weeks ago. Had a year off with a leg injury but Alan King was looking forward to keeping him hurdling off his mark and it may look very generous now the horse is back with a new handler. Paul Townend is a good booking and with the layers throwing the 5 places around it’s a good e/w play.

Having been strong on Parsnip Pete at Aintree he has to remain in the reckoning for the Handicap Chase here and will make a bold bid, the rain about shouldn’t matter too much and I don’t think the mark is too high to figure once more. He has a preference for racing left handed though so there is an element of caution there.

Ned Buntline has AP McCoy now and he hood retained following his Cheltenham run and is a horse that just gives me a nearly feeling and at the prices is not going to hurt unduly if prevailing unbacked today. Art Of Logistics could be the one, Tom Scudamore is booked up and the lightly enough raced 6yo has been mixing it with some good animals but if forgiven a run in a visor at Cheltenham is my view of a well handicapped horse here. Well supported in the market at Cheltenham and this would be a decent consolation for that run.

The crackerjack Grade 1 Novice Chase should be Champagne Fever’s to land but lifeless here last year after Cheltenham you have to have steel in your nervous system to take the odds and this will present a stiffer examination than the Arkle did if the rivals run up their best. I’m not punting but Trifolium looks best priced of the rest with McCoy likely to be throwing him at his fences and in a rhythm he is a very good. A top race to enjoy.

I’m concentrated on Punchestown and nothing leaps out elsewhere so that is the lot for the day. Enjoy the Racing and good luck.

Advice –

Punchestown

3.40 Fire Fighter 1pt e/w – 12/1 with most firms 4 places and 1/4 odds ( some firms offer 5 places ) – well supported but although front rank never went through with his effort…unplaced

4.15 Art Of Logistics 1pt Win – 10/1 Victors, SJ, Lads and BetfairSportsBook – ran a big race, one untidy jump making it hard to close the gap and second best….2nd

4.15 Parsnip Pete 0.5pt Win – 12/1 with most firms – tanking along before rapping a fence and knocking off the pilot, another big day in him of course…fell

The Judge

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