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Today’s Info 27/07/14

Good afternoon

 

Three meetings today to pick through and I am in the chair for the afternoon on RacingFM.

 

I might be taking a chance with Guising on recent form but I feel he represents a better chance than the odds suggest at Pontefract in the 3.30pm Handicap over 1m2f.

 

Only had 9 starts and kicked off his career as a four year old and quickly made hay with front running tactics, towards the end of last term he was a little of the boil which can easily be expected but might have won more than two contests if not bumping in to a smart one at Haydock when touched off. The return to the track under Fallon at Sandown last month can be excused and might have well been duly needed given the way he stopped after taking the pace on up top.

 

I expect Robert Winston to keep this simple from the front end and that is what you want here, he will need to return to his previous form of last term but at the odds that is worth chancing in a race where a couple who will possibly take him on up front are also not in the best of form. A repeat of his wins or the second at Haydock last season have him right in the mix and the yard are going very well now.

 

I looked at the 3.05pm from Ascot keen to back two I’ve been following for some time in Glenard and Pallasator but how to keep them both on side here is tricky. Pallasator is a monster and strikes as one that needs to just hit the front at the end off a long mowing run at rivals, unlucky not to win last time back from a break and a similar run will be hard to topple in this contest. The best price around of 3/1 is worth a small bet but it could be better as an in play bet as I think it will trade bigger.

 

Glenard would be of interest but two non runners limit the options, I do feel the horse has more to offer and could outrun recent efforts by some way when he consents to do so. Catching him has been tricky like his attitude but at 7/1 the better value to latch on too. I’ve not come to a conclusion other than either can win and I’d rather back one at 7s than the other at 3s.  Do what you will but a place bet on Glenard with the machines still gives three places and I expect the fav to trade a bit bigger and will be looking for that during the contest.

 

Advice –

 

Pontefract 3.30 – Guising 0.75pt e/w – 20/1 Stan J and W Hill ( 3 places and 1/4 odds )

 

The Judge

 


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