Today’s Info 29th December 2014
Well a winner was welcome and Le Vent D’Antan was worth waiting for running out an impressive winner at Leopardstown and by the off the market had got it right sending him off a well supported favorite.
As for the other selections well we got some decent prices about them but we didn’t get much in the way of excitement, and finally what has happened to At Fishers Cross…quirky he may be but appears to have really lost his way now.
It’s time for another Hurricane Fly and Jezki show at Leopardstown and it’s conditions in favour for the former once again with soft ground and the track practically the spiritual home for the Fly and all that worship the remarkable animal. I couldn’t have him winning at Punchestown and if that hadn’t happened then I’d feel exactly the same here but it did! Jezki should win but who knows how many times more the Fly can deliver the very best of himself on the track, he will be 11 years old before the end of the week and Jezki has to have his measure again sometime soon if they both stay sound. Fascinating and if a gun was put to my head I’d say Jezki wins this but it’s not and I’m not betting but will enjoy it immensely!
The Topaz is special looking and Don Poli heads a market that is not easy to make let alone gauge with such potential in the field and a case to be made for any of them winning. I think the best value may lie with Apache Stronghold who ran so well in the Drimore and suggests very much this will be more his track. The ground wouldn’t want to get much softer though for him to show his best and if he can put a round of jumping together he has to be thereabouts. It’s a great division this year and as I advised during the week Shanahan’s Turn looked a player and the market has now cottoned on too with the field shrinking as it drew closer. I think along with the fav these are the three to concentrate on but a cracker in store and a small bet on the Apache will do for me at a price that is too big but everything will need to improve to win a superb looking race.
A nicely open chase at Newbury is worth playing at 1.05pm where the rarely seen Desert Joe could reward some patience from connections now that he has a completed spin over fences under his belt. That came behind a hatrick seeking Venetia Williams runner and this field is there for the taking off the same mark. He is a nice animal who has plenty of room for improvement and at around 7/1 is a nice punt. Phone Home will have plenty of supporters of course after an agonizing defeat last time but is priced accordingly here.
Not much juice in the price later on the card as Highland Lodge seems to have plenty in favour for the long distance chase on preferred soft ground, a claim of 10lbs of his back and a marked drop in grade. At 3s or so he is probably worth letting win without a wager but I’m sure all concerned will be pretty upset if he can’t score at 1.35pm and the 7/2 will surely not be there at the off…
I’m not going to try and solve the Challow at 2.10pm it’s a nice race and one that looks as open as the betting suggests, happy to watch them perform.
Fav backers could be in clover in the following races and I’m half tempted by the double with Royal Regatta and Morito de Berlais looking very solid propositions if a little short for selection purposes, lovely types entitled to win.
Leaving it there and hoping for a good day ahead, inspections allowing of course…stay warm.
Newb 1.05 – Desert Joe 0.75pt Win – 7/1 General
Newb 1.35 – Highland Lodge 0.75pt Win – 7/2 General
Leop 3.05 – Apache Stronghold 0.75pt Win – 7/1 General, 8s in places
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