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Today’s Info 9th April 2015 – Day One Aintree

Looks a day for the shorties in a lot of the races at Aintree as we kick off a super three days in Liverpool but the handicaps will provide a few opportunities to land the big fish!

 

In the Manifesto Novices that kicks it off I agree with the market and Josses Hill who will now be partnered by Nico de Boinville who if he can get this hippo jumping will find out he has the best horse in the race but the prices are not for playing and it is a match of his jumping against Vibrato Valtat who will of course be the danger if he doesn’t put a clear and fluent round in.

 

Some nice juveniles in the next but Hargam is rightly a short price and should be winning, Hostile Fire is potentially interesting for a place punt having shown a good level for Gordon Elliott before Cheltenham and is let go off at telephone numbers but be worth small attention.

 

The Bowl is a good race and I’m surprised Silviniaco Conti is not favourite for it following what has been a remarkable season for him despite a below par run at Cheltenham when the wheels came off for more than him against a powerpacked novice. Holywell ran well in the Gold Cup after a slower season but still has it to prove at Silvi’s level and I would have them the other way round in the betting for this. I can’t see anything outside of them at the top of the market winning if they both run their races and at 5/2 I think Conti is worth a small bet at what are the wrong odds for him today.

 

In the hurdle it’s interesting to see Jezki at Aintree but I’ve not been impressed with him this year at any stage and whilst we have been waiting for him to see better ground and improve I’m not sure he has gone on from last year in a hotter division. That said the big guns are not in this race and I’d be happy for McCoy and the Harrington’s if they provide for a nice Aintree success on a horse that maybe owes him one back!

 

Artic Fire has improved a lot and chasing home Faugheen was another step up, he got the run of the race to do that in my opinion though and may be flattered but has a great opportunity to prove that he is a player for now and next year in this race. However the one who missed the action at Cheltenham is Rock On Ruby and he looks the call in this. Form this year was very measured and professional in dispatching good horses, this track and trip are ideal and I think if his trainer has no issues now they will be hard to beat even at 10 years old he lacks no pace and has the added stamina.

 

Big Fella Thanks might have won a National or two if he got a furlong or two further than he does but the task today in the Foxhunters might just offer him what is deserved on his Aintree CV. Derek O’Connor is booked which is a big plus for connections and he is a class act around here, has to be involved and if justice exists ( some pocket talk here ) he will win this afternoon.

 

Pacha du Polder, On The Fringe and Warne are rightly fancied, the latter appeals most under SWC but I’m happy with one of the fancied runners on side and then to look for a shock at a price below them. The two that appeal on that score are Shoreacres who ran so well over further at Cheltenham and has always had a touch of class about him and the other is Rouge et Blanc who I’ve always like despite letting us down for a four timer one afternoon this winter! With Harry Bannister booked for him I can see him running a big race and should anything happen to the leading contenders in what can be a rough race he is just the right type to figure with his jumping and travelling ideal for here.

 

Next Sensation saved us at Cheltenham with a super performance as the white flag was being raised by me on a week with little luck and whilst I’ll be having a cover on him repeating those heroics I think the value lies elsewhere this afternoon. Parsnip Pete is the horse for the race having won it last year and just been teed up again accordingly but he has more weight and it looks a stronger race to me so I’m not steaming with everything but I do think he is a touch overpriced on the day that matters for him.

 

The other is Darwins Fox who is a talented beast for Henry De Bromhead but one that rarely gets pace to chase at and often gets stuck in slower affairs in Ireland. It has not been straightforward for him in his career but I’ve hoped he would have a chance to show what connections have always thought of him and that might be here with better ground, a decent field that will make it a test and off what is a good mark if it clicks for him. Prepped oddly but he has been in good form in races that effectively he couldn’t win or weren’t run to suit at all. I thought we might get a bigger price but maybe he chance is not completely missed.

 

An impossible finale to tackle has only one stand out for me at the odds and that is Dawalan who is worth a small bet to fly home off what could be a throat cutting pace up top which will suit perfectly. He has a bit too much weight after some errors in the campaign but the horse can be in and out and if on a going day under conditions and a track that is ideal for him to roll home then if he is fine after Cheltenham the price is wrong this afternoon.

 

Good luck to you all!

 

Advice –

 

Aintree

 

2.50 Silvinaco Conti 0.75pt Win – 11/4 General

 

3.25 Rock On Ruby 0.75pt Win – 4/1 Hills and BET365

 

4.05 – Big Fella Thanks 0.75pt e/w – 8/1 General

4.05 – Rouge et Blanc 0.5pt e/w – 50/1 General

4.05 – Shoreacres 0.25pt e/w – 33/1 General

 

4.40 Darwins Fox 0.75pt e/w – 16/1 General

4.40 Parsnip Pete 0.5pt Win – 14/1 General

 

5.15 Dawalan 0.5pt e/w – 25/1 General

 

The Judge


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