Today’s Info, Royal Ascot Day 2
A little complicated perhaps with the selections looking back on yesterday at Royal Ascot. The way the results went it was very much a punters day but when that happens I rarely make too much progress in the profit column, preferring to let the big guns run and win unbacked and that’s what happened. Kingman and Toronado was class while Sole Power and Hootenanny were fast and John Quinn landed a massive win for his yard with The Wow Signal. Hugely enjoyable but my selections didn’t fire and that’s racing.
Day two starts with a very difficult race to sort out in the Jersey stakes, a whole host of solid performers who would not be surprise winners and a couple who have seen less action and therefore could be improving past the flagbearers. Muwaary is a big player and might continue the good run of it from yesterday for fancied horses as I’m pretty sure there is more to come on a fourth run and following a good spin in France. I’ve two that I could back though at better prices in the Irish contenders Sudirman and Big Time who obviously know each other very well from last time and have had encouraging spins as prep races for this already this season. Big Time was eyecatching in the Irsh 2000 behind Kingman and suggested very much that this would be a good next port of call whilst Sudirman needed a spin over too short last time out and a second crack at this trip of 7f can bring plenty of improvement still. I think a bet on the pair is merited at the odds and I expect both to get involved but it’s a very good race to start the day and hard to solve.
I will not be trying to hard to solve the Queen Mary pre race but will certainly enjoy the race when it comes at 3.05pm
It could be round two of the Wesley Ward express train service though with Spanish Pipedream obviously of interest for the trainer and especially so after Hootenanny blew away rivals yesterday. Anthem Alexander is hopefully going to run a big race for Ed Lynam but I’ll only be watching and taking notes – if I can write fast enough during the blitz.
Ahh then of course we get to Treve and the Prince of Wales’s Stakes, I’m not that way inclined to back short ones but I do think she is a big price even at around 4/6 – I hope we see a massive performance and I wouldn’t back anything against her. Without here I expect a better run than the odds suggest from Dank with this ground in favour.
The Duke of Cambridge would look a really nice starting point for Sky Lantern but plenty of niggles about the stats would make you wary of getting involved at 4s or so despite her class. I think the French runners will hold sway with the Fabre trained Esoterique at the spear head of a few with decent looking chances from across the water. I’m not going to get involved properly but L’Amour De Ma Vie and Kenhope look overpriced and I will chance small money on them most likely come post time.
Good luck in the Hunt Cup is essential and I’d advise having a couple on side at least. I wouldn’t put Abseil too high on the short list though at the odds on offer, a profile that looks right of course but I have issues with the Epsom run and felt there was a fair bit of luck involved there. Will need to progress a fair but to win this but only a few starts and could do that, not for me this afternoon.
The two I do like, a case could be made for many of course, are Steeler and Ayaar for Charlie Appleby and Luca Cumani respectively. The former has been pretty quickly forgotten about after a very decent 2yo season was followed by a lay off but returning in Meydan recently and running some good races catches the eye now. This trip should be the optimum especially off a lightning pace which we will get here, with De Sousa in the plate I don’t see the 40s on offer as right, each way punt material for sure.
With Ayaar I think they have been unlucky not to do more with the horse to date, ground has dictated the trainers plans and with it coming up lovely and quick at the track we could see the best of the 4 year old today. Was sold last winter and moved from Channon to Cumani and nothing has been rushed since. A mark only a few pounds higher than when last scoring and Frankie Dettori riding I think there is enough juice in the odds today.
I would not be punting in the Sandringham if Nakuti hadn’t made the cut for Sylvester Kirk but she did and after feeling short changed at Epsom I’d hate for her to win this without keeping a little faith. Saddle slipped last time, got no luck in running and finished like one that had left the race well behind. Martin Dwyer has the ride now and I’m sure the prices on the machines will be outrun at least as she will travel as well as most and whilst they tilt at a better race I think it is a good move.
Might regret the staking if this goes to plan but a very tough day and opposing most of the fancied horses is the way I like to go!
2.30 Sudirman 0.5pt e/w – 25/1 BET365, 4 places and 1/4 odds
2.30 Big Time 0.5pt e/w – 18/1 BET365, 4 places and 1/4 odds
5.00 Ayaar 0.5pt e/w – 20/1 most firms, 5 places and 1/4 odds
5.00 Steeler 0.5pt e/w – 40/1 Victor, BET365 and S James, 5 places and 1/4 odds
5.35 Nakuti 0.5pt e/w – 40/1 BET365, SKYBET, BETBright, 5 places and 1/4 odds
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