Today’s Preview with Rory Delargy – 1st October 2014
Rory Delargy previews five races for Racing FM today – you can hear his thoughts and all of the action live throughout the day via the Listen Live button above or on the App.
Abbotsfield is an interesting contender having shown his best form at this track, and has cheekpieces refitted now making his handicap debut. The headgear should help him maintain his early pitch, and he was notably strong at the finish when scoring over C&D last time. He’s less exposed than his rivals, looks sure to progress further granted a test, and the only concern is that he’s drawn on the wing in stall 13. That’s sometimes a big advantage at Newcastle, but hasn’t been so at recent meetings.
Harwoods Volante bounced back to form at Kempton last time, and has a perfect inside draw back on turf. He’s perhaps a better performer on AW these days, but is handicapped accordingly, and has shown a liking for this C&D in the past, finishing runner-up to subsequent Molecomb/Sirenia Stakes winner Brown Sugar on his debut, and going one better on his only subsequent start at the track. With his handicap mark a generous one based on the pick of his efforts, he’s taken to run a big race, and looks overpriced.
Generalyse is one of those horses who shows his best form in the autumn, winning in October last year at Leicester, and he resumed winning ways by making all at that venue a month ago. His only other career win came on the AW in November 2012, and he’s worth persevering with now back in form. He’s another who has got an excellent draw for a prominent racer, and should have the legs of old favourite Triple Chocolate in the early stages. It’s with heavy heart that I desert Roger Ingram’s likeable sprinter, and he will be a threat to all if in the firing line a furlong out. At the odds, however, I must stick with Generalyse, who should get the run of things.
Royal Bajan isn’t the easiest to catch right these days, but ran one of his better races when fifth in a big field at Redcar last time, and looks poised for a return to form. He’s a speedy sort who has always been best when dominating, and this C&D winner has the perfect scenario to do so from stall 14 of 14 here. Dishy Guru is feared after belatedly showing his worth on turf last time, but likes to chase a strong pace, and is isolated on the far side of the track, which may scupper his chances. A bigger immediate threat comes in the shape of another proven at the track, and Sleepy Blue Ocean has shown enough of late to suggest he can go close off his current mark, as he showed when runner-up from the same official rating here in July.
All eyes, and most of the cash, will be on Moscato here, but his skinny odds mean that a couple with solid place claims, namely Precision Strike and Jan Smuts, are trading at massive odds on the exchanges, and at those odds, are worth of an each-way interest. The latter isn’t as big with the fixed-odds boys yet, so I’ll wait until later, but Precision Strike rates a bet at the best market price this morning. His yard does well at this time of year, and it may be worth playing a few of Guesty’s in each-way multiples, with Outlaw Torn (5.10) and Captain Scooby (5.40) also in action at Newcastle. That pair are frustrating in terms of their win records, but both look sure to hit the frame, and could anchor a trixie nicely.
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