Today’s Preview with Rory Delargy 28th September 2014
3.40 – EBF Stallions Breeding Winners Fillies’ Handicap (1m)
No shortage of early pace in this fillies’ event, with Alpine Storm and Lilly Junior likely to lock horns in the early stages, and Who’s That Chick is sure to be pressing that pair. Musselburgh is a notoriously difficult track on which to come from behind, as has been evidenced by the number of all-the-way wins in handicaps this term, but neither of today’s prospective front runners are attractive from that angle , with Alpine Storm usually pulling far too hard to last home, and Lilly Junior a notably weak finisher herself. A scenario in which that pair take each other on is only going to play into the hands of the hold-up runners, with Shot In The Sun making most appeal at current odds. Richard Fahey’s daughter of Kodiac was runner-up to the classy That Is The Spirit at York in May, and returned from a break to finish a creditable seventh of 14 at Ayr recently. She didn’t get the rub of the green there, and would have finished on the heels of the placed horses but for meeting trouble twice in the closing stages. The market is skewed slightly in favour of the Newmarket runners, but Shot In The Sun has the same chance on form as either Rekdhat or Auction, but is trading at a much bigger price than either.
4.50 – Purvis Group Handicap (1m1f)
Few of these win the races they ought to, with a paltry record of four wins in 92 handicap starts between them in the last year. Form pick is Tectonic, but his record of one success against ten placed efforts in the past 12 months merely shows that he’s not one to back at short odds. That comment also applies to Outlaw Torn, for all he’s tempting from a pace angle, and with Cam Hardie a good booking. One with less black marks than the others is Senor George, who has only been with Brian Ellison for a couple of starts, and followed a good third over C&D with another creditable effort at Carlisle, when simply failing to stay the extended nine-furlong trip on that stiff track. It should be a different story around Musselburgh’s sharper circuit, and he can take advantage of the failings of others by gaining a second win of the season.
3.20 – totequadpot Four Places In Four Races Handicap (1m½f)
A very competitive handicap despite only six going to post, and all have similar claims at first glance. Merry Me shades favouritism, and while she will need to step slightly up on the bare form of recent efforts to score, she’s less exposed than a few of her rivals, and her latest effort at Sandown has been franked by wins for the pair who beat her, including Silver Cambridgeshire winner GM Hopkins. That form reads very well now, and a 2 lb rise isn’t excessive by any means, so she’s afforded maximum respect. Andrew Balding’s filly certainly deserves to shade favouritism, but a chance is taken on Pupil now that he drops in class. Richard Hannon’s colt hasn’t built on an excellent second at Ascot in two starts since, but those have come in very competitive events over 1¼m at Goodwood, and he’s given the impression that his stamina has been stretched by that trip. That’s not to say he’s been disgraced on either occasion, however, and the drop back in trip, combined with the ease in grade should see him bounce back to his best.
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