Today’s Preview with Rory Delargy – 30th September 2014
Rory Delargy previews five races for Racing FM today – you can hear his thoughts and all of the action live throughout the day via the Listen Live button above or on the App.
Auld Fyffee was put up as a best bet here last week when backed from 25/1 into 9/1 for a similar event at Redcar, only to become a non runner on the morning of the race. If anything, she looks a stronger bet here, at the scene of her latest effort, when chasing home a trio of useful sorts in a minor event at the Western Meeting. A few will suggest she’s grossly flattered by that run in a small field, but the clock does not back up that assertion, and she merely needs to run to the same level to run out an easy winner in this Class 6 event. For those unconvinced, it’s worth playing back her previous run at Chepstow when she was very poorly positioned in a race where the winner made all against the stands rail. Despite racing on the worst of the ground, and well off the gallop, she still made good late headway to finish mid-field there, and that was a commendable effort in unfavourable circumstances.
This 6f handicap is a headscratcher, with the bookies going 5/1 the field. There is a case of sorts to be made for most of them, and it will be intriguing to see if anyone attempts to cross over to the stands rail, which was favoured at the last meeting. That issue is complicated by the fact that the stalls are on the far side, making such a task less appealing. That said, Goninodaethat is the type who would benefit from racing alone, and is the obvious one to make a break from the others, especially with Graham Lee on board. He’s not hugely appealing on balance, but the possibility of a solo on the fastest ground means that he’s worth having a saver on. In terms of the main bet, I’m inclined to side with Jinky, who ran well at the last meeting despite the 5f trip being on the sharp side, and is conveniently berthed between a pair of fast starters, who can pull him into the contest as long as he doesn’t dwell in the boxes. Manatee Bay is favourite, but for a hold-up horse, he doesn’t have a great draw one off the far rail.
Royale Knight has a touch of class compared to most of these and with Richard Newland finally hitting stride after a relatively quiet summer, can take advantage of his lower hurdles mark. Many will view this as a warm up for a season of chasing ahead of him, but the booking of Sam Twiston-Davies, something of a go-to man for the yard when they like one (has a 25% strike rate for the yard over hurdles) suggests otherwise. He has won after a break before, and although the trip might be considered on the short side for him, he’s not slow for one who stays so well, and it shouldn’t be a bar to success.
With Unidexter a non-runner, this looks quite open, albeit with the well-backed Kalimantan a potential blot on the handicap having been assessed on a trio of runs on unsuitably testing ground last December. He’s already proved popular in the early betting and this unexposed 4-y-o from Tim Vaughan’s yard is clearly expected to do better for going handicapping on this quicker ground. At a bigger price I’d rather chance another relatively unexposed sort in Paul Cowley’s Seas Of Green. She showed some promise in novice hurdles last winter, and while she didn’t show too much when initially going handicapping, there’s been improvement in her last two starts for the application of a hood, which is on again here. The defection of the original favourite leaves the way clear for her to make the running, which is so often an advantage over hurdles at Chepstow.
Like Kalimantan in the previous race, Powerful Action has been handed a potentially lenient mark on the basis of three runs over hurdles on soft ground, and given his best performance in bumpers came on debut/fast ground, it’s reasonable to expect him to bounce back after a break now tackling a sound surface again. He certainly wasn’t beaten up in those qualifying runs, and with this contest looking pretty uncompetitive, looks poised to score for a yard which excels at the track.
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