Progressive Windshear to outstay all in St Leger
No joy with Thursday’s preview column as Seal Of Approval proved to be a bad pick. Hopefully that will be righted tomorrow, as we’re going to take a look at the feature race on Saturday, the Group 1 St Leger. 14 runners are set to run and it’s an interesting renewal, albeit not a great one.
Kingston Hill tops the market at 3/1 and on official ratings and form, would be the one to beat if all things were equal. However, as we all know in racing, they’re not equal and I’m in two minds as to whether he’ll stay the extended 1m 6f trip. Class could see him through, that’s possible of course as he has the most raw talent of this lot with his second behind Australia being the standout form and his fourth in the Eclipse worthy of upgrading for a variety of reasons (trip, ground & bad ride).
There’s a chance that he mightn’t even run as Roger Varian has some ground worries, suggesting earlier in the week that he will only turn up if he’s completely happy with the conditions, which have been quickening all week. I hope he does run, as his participation is ensuring there’s some value elsewhere in my book and removing him from the race would take away most of the excitement! It’ll be interesting to see how he gets on if he turns up, but I just have to be against him over this trip.
Snow Sky has been improving nicely in recent times and ran a career-best in defeat last time out when second to the impressive Postponed in the Voltigeur at York. Before that, he was a Group 3 winner at the Glorious Goodwood meeting (1m 4f also) and is the sort who could have even more talent in the locker. Again, however, there are worries over the trip as he wouldn’t appear to be crying out for it and quotes of 5/1 are hardly massive. I suppose, there are stamina claims to be made given his breeding (by Nayef out of a mare who won over 1m 5.5f; there are other hints in the pedigree as well) and I may be a clown to overlook him on stamina-doubting grounds, but that’s what I’m going to do for now!
Romsdal can’t be ruled out given John Gosden’s record in this race and I’m pretty sure that he’ll be every bit as effective at this trip as he has been over shorter. However, after his cracking third in the Epsom Derby, he was a no-show at Ascot when contesting the King George and that’s off-putting to say the least, for all that he was likely to be out-classed in such company regardless. The one I do like is Richard Hannon’s WINDSHEAR (8/1) as he looks overpriced. Granted, you wouldn’t associate the yard with Leger contenders but this fellow would appear to have plenty of staying prowess, something backed up by his breeding, and some of his form – albeit in defeat – is excellent and worthy of upgrading. This trip should help to bring out the improvement required, the ground will be perfect and I don’t think that we’ve got to see the best of him yet. At 8/1, he’s an appealing each-way bet to me.
Selection for the St Leger (3:50 Doncaster; Saturday, 13th September):
Windshear – 8/1 each-way, available with a few firms.
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